PnL (30d)

+$38

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$239

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

387W / 540L · 95 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

401W / 546L · 75 open

Trades (30d)

1,022

across 133 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$0.32

avg win $340 · loss $461

Profit Factor

1.00

$23,097 won / $23,059 lost

Reward / Risk

0.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5,415

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.7% 387W/540L	133	$305,544
⚽ Sports	19.2% 14W/59L	12	$6,874

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	6,366	0.350	$2,228.16	$409.70	+22.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	13,038	0.120	$1,564.53	$-748.14	-32.3%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,259	0.820	$1,031.99	$504.89	+95.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	2,914	0.345	$1,005.04	$296.93	+41.9%
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	No	1,283	0.755	$968.38	$70.79	+7.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	1,374	0.540	$741.92	$88.89	+13.6%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	3,819	0.075	$286.40	$-53.81	-15.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	174	0.865	$150.51	$4.35	+3.0%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	70	0.091	$6.41	$0.80	+14.4%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8	0.190	$1.43	$-1.06	-42.4%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?	No	1	0.835	$0.83	$0.23	+39.2%