PnL (30d)

−$156

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-17.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

52W / 52L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

52W / 52L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

105

across 48 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$3.32

avg win $11 · loss $30

Profit Factor

0.68

$329 won / $485 lost

Reward / Risk

0.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.7% 1,479W/739L	699	$156,370
🏛 Politics	93.8% 106W/7L	57	$5,179
🎬 Culture	93.8% 106W/7L	57	$5,179
⚽ Sports	52.8% 19W/17L	11	$4,713
🌤 Weather	100.0% 25W/0L	9	$300

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

70 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.961	$4,805.00	$4,305.00	+861.0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.475	$2,375.00	$1,875.00	+375.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.415	$2,075.00	$1,882.69	+979.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.325	$1,625.00	$1,432.69	+745.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.270	$1,350.00	$850.00	+170.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.185	$925.00	$732.69	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.175	$875.00	$682.69	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.175	$875.00	$682.69	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.175	$875.00	$375.00	+75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.165	$825.00	$632.69	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.160	$800.00	$607.69	+316.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.155	$775.00	$582.69	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.135	$675.00	$482.69	+251.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.127	$632.50	$440.19	+228.9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.125	$625.00	$432.69	+225.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.125	$625.00	$432.69	+225.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.105	$525.00	$332.69	+173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.095	$475.00	$282.69	+147.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.085	$425.00	$232.69	+121.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.075	$375.00	$182.69	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.070	$350.00	$-150.00	-30.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.067	$335.00	$142.69	+74.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.055	$275.00	$82.69	+43.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.045	$225.00	$32.69	+17.0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	200	1.000	$199.90	$25.90	+14.9%