PnL (30d)

−$2,247

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$74

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

1,479W / 739L · 149 open

Win Return (30d)

68%

1,600W / 750L · 17 open

Trades (30d)

2,367

across 699 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$3.44

avg win $32 · loss $82

Profit Factor

0.86

$14,320 won / $16,568 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$208

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.7% 1,479W/739L	699	$156,370
🏛 Politics	93.8% 106W/7L	57	$5,179
🎬 Culture	93.8% 106W/7L	57	$5,179
⚽ Sports	52.8% 19W/17L	11	$4,713
🌤 Weather	100.0% 25W/0L	9	$300

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

70 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.971	$4,852.50	$4,352.50	+870.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.460	$2,300.00	$1,800.00	+360.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.425	$2,125.00	$1,932.69	+1005.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.270	$1,350.00	$850.00	+170.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.265	$1,325.00	$1,132.69	+589.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.185	$925.00	$732.69	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.183	$917.50	$725.19	+377.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.175	$875.00	$682.69	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.175	$875.00	$375.00	+75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.165	$825.00	$632.69	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.165	$825.00	$632.69	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.165	$825.00	$632.69	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.155	$775.00	$582.69	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.135	$675.00	$482.69	+251.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.135	$675.00	$482.69	+251.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.105	$525.00	$332.69	+173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.095	$475.00	$282.69	+147.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.085	$425.00	$232.69	+121.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.080	$397.50	$205.19	+106.7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.075	$375.00	$182.69	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.070	$350.00	$-150.00	-30.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.065	$325.00	$132.69	+69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.060	$300.00	$107.69	+56.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.045	$225.00	$32.69	+17.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.036	$180.00	$-12.30	-6.4%