scout
0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3
PnL (30d)
−$630
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6,138
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
594W / 155L · 2,276 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
857W / 425L · 1,743 open
Trades (30d)
3,025
across 66 markets · ~46 per market
EV / position
−$11.67
avg win $183 · loss $1,922
Profit Factor
0.93
$8,979 won / $9,609 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7,123
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $433,815 · all-time $49,798,831
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
150,000 |
0.790 |
$118,575.00 |
$43,575.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
129,999 |
0.845 |
$109,848.91 |
$2,062.04 |
+1.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
65,238 |
1.000 |
$65,204.90 |
$124.80 |
+0.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
150,000 |
0.209 |
$31,425.00 |
$-43,575.00 |
-58.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
17,000 |
0.805 |
$13,684.81 |
$4,236.38 |
+44.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.875 |
$7,875.00 |
$1,035.01 |
+15.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
8,798 |
0.835 |
$7,346.52 |
$1,451.71 |
+24.6% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.915 |
$914.99 |
$25.00 |
+2.8% |