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Trader leaderboard/TheJewishHammer

TheJewishHammer

0x2cc133f81a8ba9aca82341153dc71b09cb203e21
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 8L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
25W / 8L
Trades (30d)
33
across 5 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$1.12
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $656 · all-time $221,448

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 17.8% 24W/111L 99 $711
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 6 $9
🌤 Weather 2 $2
🔬 Science 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 1,004 0.660 $662.36 $342.08 +106.8%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 1,536 0.325 $499.13 $16.69 +3.5%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 65 0.990 $64.06 $30.64 +91.7%
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 138 0.160 $22.09 $4.82 +27.9%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 20 0.935 $18.70 $8.70 +87.0%
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 50 0.310 $15.50 $11.00 +244.4%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 25 0.490 $12.25 $1.31 +12.0%
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 268 0.036 $9.63 $5.16 +115.4%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 50 0.090 $4.47 $1.29 +40.4%
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 32 0.100 $3.24 $1.75 +116.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No 32 0.080 $2.56 $-0.11 -4.1%
Will Moshe Saada win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? Yes 61 0.041 $2.50 $2.26 +925.0%
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 37 0.060 $2.20 $0.43 +24.6%
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 27 0.080 $2.14 $0.87 +68.5%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 200 0.011 $2.10 $1.40 +200.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Yes 15 0.125 $1.88 $0.47 +33.9%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 141 0.011 $1.62 $-0.37 -18.6%
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes 130 0.011 $1.36 $0.31 +28.8%
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? No 12 0.105 $1.27 $0.25 +23.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? Yes 20 0.060 $1.20 $0.20 +20.0%
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes 10 0.110 $1.10 $0.60 +120.0%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 20 0.055 $1.10 $0.10 +10.0%
Will Trump endorse Together in the 2026 Israeli Election? Yes 124 0.008 $0.99 $-0.45 -31.1%
Will Trump endorse Religious Zionism in the 2026 Israeli Election? Yes 129 0.007 $0.90 $0.49 +116.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? Yes 100 0.009 $0.85 $0.65 +325.0%