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Trader leaderboard/TheJewishHammer

TheJewishHammer

0x2cc133f81a8ba9aca82341153dc71b09cb203e21
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$90
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
10%
1W / 9L · 57 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
48W / 19L
Trades (30d)
67
across 18 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.09
avg win $3 · loss $0
Profit Factor
1.27
$3 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
6.35
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $636 · all-time $221,428

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 17.8% 24W/111L 99 $711
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 6 $9
🌤 Weather 3 $2
🔬 Science 2 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 1,004 0.660 $662.36 $342.08 +106.8%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 1,536 0.335 $514.49 $32.05 +6.6%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 65 0.990 $64.06 $30.64 +91.7%
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 138 0.160 $22.09 $4.82 +27.9%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 20 0.935 $18.70 $8.70 +87.0%
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 50 0.310 $15.50 $11.00 +244.4%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 25 0.478 $11.95 $1.01 +9.2%
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 268 0.035 $9.37 $4.89 +109.4%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 50 0.090 $4.47 $1.29 +40.4%
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 32 0.090 $2.92 $1.42 +94.9%
Will Moshe Saada win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? Yes 61 0.042 $2.56 $2.32 +950.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No 32 0.080 $2.56 $-0.11 -4.1%
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 37 0.065 $2.39 $0.62 +34.9%
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 27 0.080 $2.14 $0.87 +68.5%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 200 0.011 $2.10 $1.40 +200.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Yes 15 0.115 $1.73 $0.33 +23.2%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 141 0.011 $1.62 $-0.37 -18.6%
Will Trump endorse Together in the 2026 Israeli Election? Yes 124 0.013 $1.55 $0.11 +7.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? Yes 20 0.070 $1.40 $0.40 +40.0%
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes 130 0.011 $1.36 $0.31 +28.8%
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? No 12 0.105 $1.27 $0.25 +23.9%
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes 10 0.125 $1.25 $0.75 +150.0%
Will Trump endorse Religious Zionism in the 2026 Israeli Election? Yes 129 0.007 $0.97 $0.55 +131.6%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 20 0.045 $0.90 $-0.10 -10.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? Yes 100 0.007 $0.75 $0.55 +275.0%