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Trader leaderboard/tianshi2

tianshi2

0x2c38d1ed8cc90694ab84ac975cbb475fd66ca15a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
8W / 9L · 125 open
Win Return (30d)
7%
9W / 121L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
142
across 12 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$1.54
avg win $2 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.39
$2 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,096 · all-time $347,028

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 22.9% 19W/64L 30 $8,611
₿ Crypto 80.0% 4W/1L 11 $4,549
🏛 Politics — 8 $1,503
💵 Economy — 3 $1,139

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 241 0.920 $221.32 $39.34 +21.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 263 0.184 $48.49 $-3.32 -6.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 602 0.080 $48.17 $-148.17 -75.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No 38 0.982 $37.15 $-0.13 -0.3%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 199 0.098 $19.36 $-76.89 -79.9%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 130 0.144 $18.74 $3.87 +26.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 110 0.082 $8.96 $4.46 +98.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 390 0.018 $7.21 $0.29 +4.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.979 $5.83 $0.19 +3.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 6 0.865 $5.19 $0.07 +1.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 30 0.135 $4.05 $-0.15 -3.6%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 4 0.997 $3.96 $0.00 +0.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 63 0.055 $3.46 $-5.98 -63.3%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 33 0.095 $3.13 $-10.09 -76.3%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 240 0.011 $2.76 $-2.04 -42.5%
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 125 0.020 $2.49 $1.36 +119.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 14 0.151 $2.12 $1.07 +102.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 98 0.021 $2.09 $-0.24 -10.2%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 2 0.966 $1.92 $0.03 +1.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 85 0.022 $1.90 $-1.60 -45.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 2 0.962 $1.84 $0.00 +0.2%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 2 0.915 $1.83 $-0.01 -0.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 2 0.918 $1.83 $-0.03 -1.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat? No 17 0.085 $1.47 $-1.13 -43.3%
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat? No 22 0.065 $1.40 $-0.75 -35.0%