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Trader leaderboard/tianshi2

tianshi2

0x2c38d1ed8cc90694ab84ac975cbb475fd66ca15a
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
4W / 1L · 414 open
Win Return (30d)
1%
4W / 414L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
419
across 13 markets · ~32 per market
EV / position
−$0.39
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.22
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,091 · all-time $347,023

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 22.9% 19W/64L 30 $8,606
₿ Crypto 80.0% 4W/1L 11 $4,544
🏛 Politics 8 $1,503
💵 Economy 3 $1,139

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 241 0.915 $220.12 $38.14 +21.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 602 0.085 $51.18 $-145.16 -73.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 263 0.184 $48.49 $-3.32 -6.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No 38 0.982 $37.15 $-0.13 -0.3%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 199 0.097 $19.26 $-76.99 -80.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 130 0.143 $18.61 $3.74 +25.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 110 0.086 $9.40 $4.89 +108.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 390 0.018 $7.21 $0.29 +4.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.979 $5.83 $0.19 +3.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 6 0.865 $5.19 $0.07 +1.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 30 0.135 $4.05 $-0.15 -3.6%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 4 0.997 $3.96 $0.00 +0.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 63 0.055 $3.46 $-5.98 -63.3%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 33 0.095 $3.13 $-10.09 -76.3%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 240 0.011 $2.76 $-2.04 -42.5%
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 125 0.020 $2.49 $1.36 +119.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 14 0.151 $2.12 $1.07 +102.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 98 0.021 $2.09 $-0.24 -10.2%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 2 0.966 $1.92 $0.03 +1.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 85 0.022 $1.90 $-1.60 -45.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 2 0.961 $1.84 $0.00 +0.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 2 0.915 $1.83 $-0.01 -0.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 2 0.914 $1.82 $-0.04 -2.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat? No 17 0.085 $1.47 $-1.13 -43.3%
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat? No 22 0.065 $1.40 $-0.75 -35.0%