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Trader leaderboard/rocky42015

rocky42015

0x2c1a7a67e6f71bd61a616841f54ae0df8e8d42d8
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$111
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
158W / 149L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
158W / 153L
Trades (30d)
311
across 24 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$5.04
avg win $41 · loss $25
Profit Factor
1.37
$411 won / $300 lost
Reward / Risk
1.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$83
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,073 · all-time $8,758,919

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.1% 2,256W/2,975L 443 $144,564
⚽ Sports 51.3% 40W/38L 23 $2,055
💵 Economy 67.1% 51W/25L 11 $3,544
🏛 Politics 66.2% 43W/22L 9 $2,786
🌤 Weather 40.7% 37W/54L 8 $998
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $282
🔬 Science 1 $46
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 1 $11
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 1 $11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

75 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 470 0.555 $261.09 $-1.77 -0.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 261 0.963 $251.32 $1.97 +0.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 371 0.635 $235.83 $-36.30 -13.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? No 341 0.690 $235.55 $-3.45 -1.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 235 0.986 $232.08 $1.77 +0.8%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? Yes 206 0.785 $161.52 $79.22 +96.2%
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? No 799 0.200 $159.85 $-12.69 -7.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? No 359 0.390 $140.01 $-17.75 -11.3%
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes 556 0.225 $125.20 $-52.85 -29.7%
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? No 296 0.380 $112.33 $-126.09 -52.9%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? Yes 236 0.460 $108.62 $24.72 +29.5%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 104 0.971 $101.18 $25.07 +32.9%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? Yes 299 0.325 $97.03 $-38.46 -28.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 473 0.165 $78.07 $-16.57 -17.5%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? No 439 0.145 $63.63 $-46.55 -42.2%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No 103 0.615 $63.60 $-7.76 -10.9%
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes 294 0.215 $63.23 $-26.08 -29.2%
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 292 0.145 $42.36 $-96.23 -69.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Yes 300 0.135 $40.50 $-4.50 -10.0%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 100 0.385 $38.50 $-3.50 -8.3%
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? Yes 300 0.125 $37.47 $-64.44 -63.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 348 0.107 $37.28 $-7.37 -16.5%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? Yes 180 0.185 $33.30 $-26.10 -43.9%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? Yes 194 0.165 $32.01 $-5.62 -14.9%
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes 300 0.105 $31.45 $-28.50 -47.5%