| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
722 |
0.962 |
$694.05 |
$-1.96 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
489 |
0.865 |
$423.33 |
$16.51 |
+4.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
446 |
0.205 |
$91.37 |
$-313.78 |
-77.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
214 |
0.356 |
$76.27 |
$-13.62 |
-15.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
398 |
0.155 |
$61.69 |
$-57.71 |
-48.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.941 |
$31.67 |
$8.23 |
+35.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
20 |
0.972 |
$19.33 |
$-0.07 |
-0.4% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? |
Yes |
8 |
0.983 |
$7.89 |
$1.23 |
+18.4% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.210 |
$3.26 |
$-5.28 |
-61.8% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
47 |
0.040 |
$1.87 |
$0.07 |
+3.9% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
3 |
0.037 |
$0.11 |
$-0.00 |
-3.8% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
16 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-0.63 |
-98.8% |