| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
722 |
0.958 |
$691.17 |
$-4.84 |
-0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
489 |
0.865 |
$423.33 |
$16.51 |
+4.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
446 |
0.215 |
$95.82 |
$-309.32 |
-76.3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
214 |
0.358 |
$76.59 |
$-13.30 |
-14.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
398 |
0.155 |
$61.69 |
$-57.71 |
-48.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.940 |
$31.62 |
$8.18 |
+34.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
20 |
0.965 |
$19.19 |
$-0.21 |
-1.1% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? |
Yes |
8 |
0.978 |
$7.84 |
$1.18 |
+17.8% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.225 |
$3.50 |
$-5.05 |
-59.1% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
47 |
0.040 |
$1.87 |
$0.07 |
+3.9% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
3 |
0.037 |
$0.11 |
$-0.00 |
-3.8% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
16 |
0.003 |
$0.05 |
$-0.59 |
-92.5% |