rz11
0x2bcb0c3fa29ef18b35f2a93bee047af9dc309724
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$8
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-10.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
19%
6W / 25L
Win Return (30d)
19%
6W / 25L
Trades (30d)
31
across 7 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.16
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.24
$3 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.59
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,253 · all-time $12,550
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
10 |
0.930 |
$9.30 |
$1.30 |
+16.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
38 |
0.196 |
$7.50 |
$-2.45 |
-24.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
30 |
0.175 |
$5.25 |
$-3.02 |
-36.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.310 |
$1.65 |
$-1.60 |
-49.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
21 |
0.060 |
$1.24 |
$-6.09 |
-83.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
10 |
0.070 |
$0.70 |
$-1.30 |
-65.0% |