rz11
0x2bcb0c3fa29ef18b35f2a93bee047af9dc309724
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$9
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
5W / 8L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
5W / 11L
Trades (30d)
16
across 4 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$3.02
avg win $1 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.14
$1 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,253 · all-time $12,550
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
10 |
0.950 |
$9.50 |
$1.50 |
+18.8% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
38 |
0.202 |
$7.73 |
$-2.22 |
-22.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
30 |
0.160 |
$4.80 |
$-3.47 |
-42.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.280 |
$1.49 |
$-1.76 |
-54.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
21 |
0.065 |
$1.34 |
$-5.99 |
-81.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
10 |
0.050 |
$0.50 |
$-1.50 |
-75.0% |