| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.963 |
$77.38 |
$-0.36 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
77 |
0.865 |
$66.67 |
$4.17 |
+6.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
51 |
0.942 |
$48.05 |
$12.61 |
+35.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.935 |
$22.00 |
$2.00 |
+10.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
34 |
0.349 |
$11.87 |
$-1.14 |
-8.7% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.969 |
$10.65 |
$0.65 |
+6.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
10 |
0.978 |
$9.89 |
$0.02 |
+0.2% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
10 |
0.961 |
$9.88 |
$-0.03 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.905 |
$9.26 |
$0.46 |
+5.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
49 |
0.155 |
$7.55 |
$-36.77 |
-83.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
40 |
0.145 |
$5.73 |
$-6.13 |
-51.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.675 |
$5.35 |
$0.13 |
+2.4% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.910 |
$5.11 |
$0.11 |
+2.2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.989 |
$5.00 |
$0.50 |
+11.1% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.210 |
$3.33 |
$-6.67 |
-66.7% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
53 |
0.035 |
$1.82 |
$-0.24 |
-11.5% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
304 |
0.002 |
$0.61 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |