| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.957 |
$76.94 |
$-0.80 |
-1.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
77 |
0.865 |
$66.67 |
$4.17 |
+6.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
51 |
0.940 |
$47.95 |
$12.51 |
+35.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.935 |
$22.00 |
$2.00 |
+10.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
34 |
0.357 |
$12.13 |
$-0.88 |
-6.8% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.966 |
$10.62 |
$0.62 |
+6.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
49 |
0.215 |
$10.47 |
$-33.85 |
-76.4% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
10 |
0.961 |
$9.87 |
$-0.04 |
-0.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
10 |
0.968 |
$9.79 |
$-0.08 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.900 |
$9.21 |
$0.41 |
+4.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
40 |
0.155 |
$6.13 |
$-5.73 |
-48.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.675 |
$5.35 |
$0.13 |
+2.4% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.905 |
$5.08 |
$0.08 |
+1.7% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.988 |
$4.99 |
$0.49 |
+11.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.225 |
$3.57 |
$-6.43 |
-64.3% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
53 |
0.037 |
$1.98 |
$-0.08 |
-3.8% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
304 |
0.002 |
$0.61 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
21 |
0.004 |
$0.08 |
$-5.02 |
-98.4% |