| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%? |
Yes |
467 |
0.970 |
$452.99 |
$-1.80 |
-0.4% |
| Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
No |
400 |
0.998 |
$399.00 |
$307.00 |
+333.7% |
| Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? |
Yes |
644 |
0.495 |
$318.78 |
$9.66 |
+3.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
240 |
0.915 |
$219.60 |
$13.20 |
+6.4% |
| Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
215 |
0.964 |
$207.16 |
$6.64 |
+3.3% |
| Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election? |
Yes |
495 |
0.415 |
$205.42 |
$50.02 |
+32.2% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
190 |
0.984 |
$186.87 |
$19.27 |
+11.5% |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5? |
No |
200 |
0.883 |
$177.04 |
$9.40 |
+5.6% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
No |
230 |
0.750 |
$172.50 |
$46.70 |
+37.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? |
Yes |
165 |
0.991 |
$163.51 |
$23.77 |
+17.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
175 |
0.925 |
$161.88 |
$11.38 |
+7.6% |
| Will the Liberals (L) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
No |
160 |
1.000 |
$159.94 |
$5.82 |
+3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 0%-3%? |
No |
186 |
0.845 |
$157.03 |
$-14.95 |
-8.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 3% or more? |
No |
210 |
0.740 |
$155.12 |
$-34.15 |
-18.0% |
| Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
No |
152 |
0.998 |
$152.18 |
$4.70 |
+3.2% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
190 |
0.715 |
$135.85 |
$21.15 |
+18.4% |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? |
No |
135 |
0.967 |
$130.93 |
$4.17 |
+3.3% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.920 |
$128.80 |
$7.00 |
+5.7% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
135 |
0.914 |
$123.59 |
$16.62 |
+15.5% |
| Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? |
No |
122 |
0.978 |
$119.01 |
$3.86 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election? |
No |
151 |
0.785 |
$118.53 |
$-22.40 |
-15.9% |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
115 |
0.998 |
$114.77 |
$15.07 |
+15.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election? |
No |
150 |
0.740 |
$111.00 |
$-29.00 |
-20.7% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? |
No |
121 |
0.920 |
$110.98 |
$3.73 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election? |
No |
151 |
0.705 |
$106.45 |
$-31.46 |
-22.8% |