| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%? |
Yes |
467 |
0.970 |
$452.99 |
$-1.80 |
-0.4% |
| Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
No |
400 |
0.998 |
$399.00 |
$307.00 |
+333.7% |
| Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? |
Yes |
644 |
0.495 |
$318.78 |
$9.66 |
+3.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
240 |
0.915 |
$219.60 |
$13.20 |
+6.4% |
| Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
215 |
0.964 |
$207.16 |
$6.64 |
+3.3% |
| Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election? |
Yes |
495 |
0.410 |
$202.95 |
$47.55 |
+30.6% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
190 |
0.984 |
$186.87 |
$19.27 |
+11.5% |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5? |
No |
200 |
0.883 |
$177.04 |
$9.40 |
+5.6% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
No |
230 |
0.750 |
$172.50 |
$46.70 |
+37.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? |
Yes |
165 |
0.991 |
$163.51 |
$23.77 |
+17.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
175 |
0.925 |
$161.88 |
$11.38 |
+7.6% |
| Will the Liberals (L) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
No |
160 |
1.000 |
$159.94 |
$5.82 |
+3.8% |
| Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
No |
152 |
0.998 |
$152.18 |
$4.70 |
+3.2% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
190 |
0.715 |
$135.85 |
$21.15 |
+18.4% |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? |
No |
135 |
0.966 |
$130.79 |
$4.04 |
+3.2% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.920 |
$128.80 |
$7.00 |
+5.7% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
135 |
0.914 |
$123.59 |
$16.62 |
+15.5% |
| Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? |
No |
122 |
0.977 |
$118.89 |
$3.74 |
+3.2% |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
115 |
0.998 |
$114.77 |
$15.07 |
+15.1% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? |
No |
121 |
0.920 |
$110.98 |
$3.73 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election? |
No |
158 |
0.695 |
$109.88 |
$-31.36 |
-22.2% |
| Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? |
Yes |
108 |
0.969 |
$104.69 |
$13.99 |
+15.4% |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
115 |
0.885 |
$101.78 |
$67.98 |
+201.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 3% or more? |
No |
160 |
0.635 |
$101.30 |
$-41.19 |
-28.9% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.959 |
$100.64 |
$28.39 |
+39.3% |