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Trader leaderboard/ChristmasCracker

ChristmasCracker

0x2b3d1e9bdf941d435dc91a8b974b86f7064c8db7
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$104
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
69%
82W / 37L
Trades (30d)
119
across 10 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $143,899 · all-time $5,828,163

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.0% 1,022W/398L 1615 $89,253
⚽ Sports 70.5% 134W/56L 378 $8,567
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 91 $5,574
🏛 Politics 6 $186

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? Yes 1,418 0.620 $878.33 $217.03 +32.8%
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 1,678 0.401 $671.92 $522.21 +348.8%
Will Dillon Ward win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year? Yes 777 0.410 $318.53 $294.28 +1213.3%
Will Don Kelly win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 1,071 0.225 $240.88 $188.56 +360.4%
Will Craig Counsell win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 1,244 0.164 $203.37 $147.90 +266.7%
Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? Yes 485 0.415 $201.51 $191.03 +1823.3%
Will Clayton McCullough win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 1,241 0.150 $186.19 $44.85 +31.7%
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 953 0.173 $165.17 $99.23 +150.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,990 0.075 $149.28 $126.92 +567.6%
Will Jake Piseno win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? Yes 265 0.525 $138.89 $121.89 +717.0%
Will Emmet Carroll win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year? Yes 497 0.275 $136.70 $-1.01 -0.7%
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? No 358 0.375 $134.43 $-1.72 -1.3%
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 1,527 0.070 $106.11 $62.05 +140.8%
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? Yes 335 0.275 $92.05 $31.20 +51.3%
Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 1,178 0.076 $89.53 $54.88 +158.4%
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 1,600 0.054 $87.19 $3.85 +4.6%
Will Mason Woodward win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? Yes 187 0.449 $84.12 $79.06 +1561.3%
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 198 0.425 $84.10 $-16.65 -16.5%
Will Ethan Rall win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? Yes 187 0.445 $83.38 $78.31 +1546.5%
Will KOI be a 2027 VCT EMEA partner team? Yes 162 0.500 $81.00 $71.28 +733.3%
Will Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? Yes 834 0.091 $76.31 $-60.01 -44.0%
Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? Yes 246 0.307 $75.56 $63.51 +527.1%
Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 1,496 0.051 $75.55 $31.55 +71.7%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 46,379 0.002 $69.57 $20.17 +40.8%
Will Tyler Carpenter win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? Yes 187 0.370 $69.32 $64.26 +1269.0%