PnL (30d)

−$309

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7,477

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

72%

1,022W / 398L · 3,982 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

4,090W / 1,273L · 39 open

Trades (30d)

5,402

across 1,615 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.70

avg win $67 · loss $217

Profit Factor

0.99

$22,245 won / $22,554 lost

Reward / Risk

0.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$28

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.0% 1,022W/398L	1615	$89,253
⚽ Sports	70.5% 134W/56L	378	$8,567
🎬 Culture	100.0% 3W/0L	91	$5,574
🏛 Politics	—	6	$186

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	Yes	1,418	0.620	$878.33	$217.03	+32.8%
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	1,678	0.401	$672.76	$523.05	+349.4%
Will Don Kelly win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	1,071	0.340	$364.00	$311.68	+595.7%
Will Dillon Ward win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?	Yes	777	0.409	$318.06	$293.81	+1211.4%
Will Craig Counsell win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	1,244	0.211	$263.07	$207.61	+374.3%
Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	485	0.472	$229.15	$218.68	+2087.1%
Will Clayton McCullough win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	1,241	0.149	$185.57	$44.23	+31.3%
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	953	0.187	$178.12	$112.18	+170.1%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,990	0.075	$149.28	$126.92	+567.6%
Will Jake Piseno win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?	Yes	265	0.525	$138.89	$121.89	+717.0%
Will Emmet Carroll win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?	Yes	497	0.275	$136.70	$-1.01	-0.7%
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?	No	358	0.375	$134.43	$-1.72	-1.3%
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	Yes	335	0.275	$92.05	$31.20	+51.3%
Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	1,178	0.076	$89.53	$54.88	+158.4%
Will Ethan Rall win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?	Yes	187	0.465	$87.12	$82.06	+1620.5%
Will Mason Woodward win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?	Yes	187	0.463	$86.65	$81.59	+1611.3%
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	1,600	0.054	$86.39	$3.05	+3.7%
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	198	0.425	$84.10	$-16.65	-16.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	1,527	0.054	$83.21	$39.14	+88.8%
Will KOI be a 2027 VCT EMEA partner team?	Yes	162	0.500	$81.00	$71.28	+733.3%
Will Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?	Yes	834	0.091	$75.89	$-60.42	-44.3%
Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	1,496	0.051	$75.55	$31.55	+71.7%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	46,379	0.002	$69.57	$20.17	+40.8%
Will Tyler Carpenter win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?	Yes	187	0.370	$69.32	$64.26	+1269.0%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	45,645	0.002	$68.47	$19.54	+39.9%