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Trader leaderboard/15rob

15rob

0x2afd0dfad042ef302aad5d4480602d1a9250deb4
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
49%
253W / 259L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
527
across 88 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,668 · all-time $2,782,646

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.1% 181W/188L 434 $5,610
🏛 Politics 51 $279
💵 Economy 43 $239
₿ Crypto 34 $247
⚽ Sports 13 $63
🎬 Culture 7 $31
🔬 Science 5 $26
🤖 Tech 3 $17
🌤 Weather 3 $11

Open positions

196 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes 137 0.370 $50.85 $11.97 +30.8%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes 161 0.073 $11.87 $6.87 +137.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? No 20 0.480 $9.81 $8.59 +700.0%
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes 26 0.326 $8.45 $3.48 +70.0%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 51 0.165 $8.44 $2.78 +49.1%
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? Yes 26 0.310 $8.21 $4.48 +120.4%
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 22 0.375 $8.14 $4.44 +120.2%
Natural Disaster in 2026? No 10 0.775 $7.42 $2.43 +48.5%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? Yes 36 0.199 $7.17 $6.21 +646.6%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? Yes 15 0.450 $6.79 $1.80 +36.1%
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No 9 0.745 $6.60 $3.06 +86.4%
Will Kinetiq reach $0.5 before 2027? No 9 0.685 $6.41 $2.43 +61.0%
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026? Yes 26 0.230 $6.09 $3.56 +140.7%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 7 0.933 $6.09 $1.24 +25.6%
Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026? No 7 0.820 $5.90 $0.86 +17.1%
Will Post Malone be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No 6 0.964 $5.85 $2.66 +83.2%
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? No 6 0.981 $5.77 $0.78 +15.5%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? No 8 0.676 $5.72 $3.04 +113.4%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? No 6 0.869 $5.51 $1.03 +23.0%
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.915 $5.51 $0.67 +13.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.750 $5.50 $0.51 +10.1%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? No 7 0.790 $5.48 $0.62 +12.8%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? Yes 17 0.315 $5.38 $0.95 +21.3%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes 33 0.165 $5.36 $0.37 +7.5%
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 7 0.795 $5.29 $1.33 +33.5%