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Trader leaderboard/15rob

15rob

0x2afd0dfad042ef302aad5d4480602d1a9250deb4
PnL (30d)
−$7
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$57
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
181W / 188L · 1,874 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
1,116W / 1,075L · 52 open
Trades (30d)
2,243
across 434 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.28
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.61
$12 won / $19 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,569 · all-time $2,782,547

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.1% 181W/188L 434 $5,610
🏛 Politics 56 $303
💵 Economy 47 $285
₿ Crypto 37 $291
⚽ Sports 13 $65
🎬 Culture 7 $31
🔬 Science 5 $26
🤖 Tech 3 $17
🌤 Weather 3 $11

Open positions

196 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes 137 0.370 $50.85 $11.97 +30.8%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes 161 0.073 $11.87 $6.87 +137.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? No 20 0.480 $9.81 $8.59 +700.0%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 51 0.165 $8.44 $2.78 +49.1%
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes 26 0.324 $8.40 $3.43 +69.0%
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 22 0.375 $8.14 $4.44 +120.2%
Natural Disaster in 2026? No 10 0.775 $7.42 $2.43 +48.5%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? Yes 15 0.460 $6.94 $1.95 +39.2%
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No 9 0.750 $6.64 $3.10 +87.6%
Will Kinetiq reach $0.5 before 2027? No 9 0.685 $6.41 $2.43 +61.0%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? Yes 168 0.038 $6.37 $-2.78 -30.4%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 7 0.933 $6.09 $1.24 +25.6%
Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026? No 7 0.815 $5.87 $0.83 +16.4%
Will Post Malone be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No 6 0.964 $5.85 $2.66 +83.2%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? No 8 0.679 $5.75 $3.07 +114.3%
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? No 6 0.972 $5.71 $0.72 +14.5%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? No 6 0.886 $5.62 $1.14 +25.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.755 $5.54 $0.54 +10.9%
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.915 $5.51 $0.67 +13.7%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? No 7 0.785 $5.45 $0.59 +12.1%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes 33 0.165 $5.36 $0.37 +7.5%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? Yes 17 0.310 $5.29 $0.86 +19.4%
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 7 0.795 $5.29 $1.33 +33.5%
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes 32 0.165 $5.29 $0.46 +9.4%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 6 0.855 $5.29 $0.29 +5.8%