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Trader leaderboard/romanew-3-15

romanew-3-15

0x2ab3e572c80cb5936a9e39fc96e27463152107bc
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$22
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
29W / 26L · 145 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
111W / 46L · 43 open
Trades (30d)
200
across 37 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.27
avg win $0 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.19
$5 won / $27 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,770 · all-time $513,476

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.6% 705W/253L 188 $4,484
🏛 Politics 88.9% 16W/2L 17 $172
💵 Economy 44.4% 8W/10L 7 $135
₿ Crypto 23.1% 3W/10L 5 $126
🤖 Tech 100.0% 36W/0L 4 $134
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 2 $35
🔬 Science 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? Yes 85 0.061 $5.17 $0.17 +3.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? Yes 45 0.105 $4.77 $-0.23 -4.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 50 0.095 $4.75 $-0.25 -5.0%
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 62 0.069 $4.23 $-0.77 -15.4%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 62 0.065 $4.06 $-0.94 -18.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 47 0.052 $2.45 $-2.55 -50.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No 17 0.125 $2.15 $-2.84 -56.9%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 25 0.060 $1.50 $-3.50 -70.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.029 $1.43 $-3.58 -71.5%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? Yes 15 0.086 $1.29 $-0.86 -39.9%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 9 0.140 $1.27 $0.09 +7.7%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? Yes 83 0.015 $1.25 $-3.75 -75.0%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? Yes 50 0.023 $1.15 $-3.85 -77.0%
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 48 0.015 $0.74 $-9.26 -92.6%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No 5 0.075 $0.38 $-0.28 -42.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? Yes 43 0.009 $0.36 $-2.67 -88.0%
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31? Yes 6 0.046 $0.28 $-0.03 -10.6%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 46 0.002 $0.07 $-4.09 -98.4%