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Trader leaderboard/romanew-3-15

romanew-3-15

0x2ab3e572c80cb5936a9e39fc96e27463152107bc
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$7
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
15W / 9L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
30W / 11L
Trades (30d)
41
across 10 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.94
avg win $0 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.27
$2 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,685 · all-time $513,391

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.7% 705W/251L 188 $4,484
🏛 Politics 88.2% 15W/2L 17 $172
💵 Economy 44.4% 8W/10L 7 $135
₿ Crypto 23.1% 3W/10L 5 $126
🤖 Tech 100.0% 36W/0L 4 $134
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 2 $35
🔬 Science 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? Yes 83 0.059 $4.88 $-0.13 -2.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? Yes 45 0.105 $4.77 $-0.23 -4.5%
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 62 0.069 $4.23 $-0.77 -15.4%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 62 0.065 $4.06 $-0.94 -18.8%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 50 0.075 $3.75 $-1.25 -25.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No 17 0.150 $2.58 $-2.41 -48.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 47 0.054 $2.57 $-2.43 -48.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.042 $2.10 $-2.90 -58.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 25 0.070 $1.75 $-3.25 -65.0%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? Yes 15 0.086 $1.28 $-0.86 -40.2%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? Yes 50 0.025 $1.25 $-3.75 -75.0%
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 48 0.015 $0.74 $-9.26 -92.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? Yes 43 0.013 $0.53 $-2.49 -82.4%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No 5 0.075 $0.38 $-0.28 -42.3%
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31? Yes 6 0.046 $0.28 $-0.03 -10.6%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 1 0.150 $0.21 $0.03 +15.3%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 46 0.002 $0.07 $-4.09 -98.4%