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Trader leaderboard/taralynnbar

taralynnbar

0x2aa0785974c55c3a98d0a44bb6cc159ce9a9ee01
PnL (30d)
+$8
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$52
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
4W / 13L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
13W / 20L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
34
across 21 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.78
avg win $7 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.62
$20 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
3.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $5,467,573

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 23.5% 4W/13L 21 $8,346
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $890
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $890
🏛 Politics 2 $124

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? No 863 0.940 $811.20 $9.04 +1.1%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 500 0.968 $483.75 $12.75 +2.7%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 500 0.885 $442.50 $7.50 +1.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No 488 0.855 $417.32 $16.11 +4.0%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 509 0.815 $414.78 $-19.80 -4.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No 352 0.949 $334.18 $24.30 +7.8%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? No 293 0.940 $275.31 $21.16 +8.3%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No 310 0.865 $268.15 $10.85 +4.2%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No 312 0.795 $247.95 $-25.77 -9.4%
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? No 200 0.974 $194.70 $4.70 +2.5%
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? No 200 0.940 $188.00 $8.00 +4.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No 194 0.935 $181.65 $10.69 +6.2%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.880 $175.99 $10.00 +6.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 186 0.785 $146.00 $-10.23 -6.5%
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 165 0.845 $139.20 $9.17 +7.1%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? No 139 0.855 $118.47 $29.79 +33.6%
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.983 $98.25 $3.74 +4.0%
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? No 99 0.986 $97.22 $4.82 +5.2%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No 207 0.435 $89.93 $-76.03 -45.8%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 50 0.024 $1.18 $-0.32 -21.7%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 50 0.019 $0.95 $-0.15 -13.6%
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Yes 3 0.120 $0.39 $-0.55 -58.6%
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? No 1 0.042 $0.05 $-0.06 -53.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-17 House seat? Yes 1 0.029 $0.03 $0.01 +29.2%
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes 1 0.005 $0.01 $-0.56 -99.0%