TheSwingState
0x2a16e270f36f5b00dd11467df36e1c3121ae6f38
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$42
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
56W / 19L
Win Return (30d)
75%
56W / 19L
Trades (30d)
75
across 30 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.40
avg win $10 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.84
$212 won / $254 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$81
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,775 · all-time $148,180
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
400 |
0.685 |
$274.00 |
$40.00 |
+17.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
239 |
0.972 |
$232.19 |
$0.84 |
+0.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.990 |
$197.90 |
$2.12 |
+1.1% |