Log in
Trader leaderboard/ImSweating

ImSweating

0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$19
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-29.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
7W / 7L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
12W / 22L
Trades (30d)
34
across 11 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$9.48
avg win $14 · loss $33
Profit Factor
0.42
$14 won / $33 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $33,241 · all-time $284,569

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 8.8% 155W/1,611L 1349 $35,929
⚽ Sports 1.7% 2W/116L 121 $2,524
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/34L 92 $2,700
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/30L 55 $2,060
🌤 Weather 8.0% 7W/81L 48 $1,097
💵 Economy 18.0% 9W/41L 36 $829
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/6L 22 $891
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 16 $569
🔬 Science 3 $33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

92 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes 1,606 0.145 $232.87 $-147.54 -38.8%
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? Yes 168 0.730 $122.82 $-6.46 -5.0%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes 150 0.635 $95.16 $-8.74 -8.4%
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026? Yes 108 0.795 $85.46 $-0.15 -0.2%
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? Yes 123 0.650 $80.16 $-21.78 -21.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 77 0.850 $65.37 $5.31 +8.8%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? Yes 71 0.745 $52.97 $7.91 +17.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.455 $45.69 $6.82 +17.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? Yes 50 0.755 $37.75 $2.75 +7.9%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? Yes 133 0.230 $30.62 $-19.06 -38.4%
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.745 $29.80 $4.98 +20.1%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 50 0.595 $29.73 $20.70 +229.1%
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? Yes 272 0.106 $28.93 $19.28 +199.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 170 0.155 $26.35 $-17.65 -40.1%
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Yes 150 0.175 $26.21 $-6.38 -19.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 70 0.335 $23.45 $-1.05 -4.3%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 343 0.064 $21.96 $-0.77 -3.4%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.210 $21.00 $-1.85 -8.1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 50 0.405 $20.25 $-2.75 -12.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.505 $20.20 $0.00 +0.0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 119 0.114 $13.48 $-33.39 -71.2%
Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026? Yes 100 0.130 $13.00 $-17.00 -56.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 55 0.235 $12.94 $-3.98 -23.5%
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? Yes 133 0.095 $12.61 $4.97 +65.1%
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No 20 0.590 $11.80 $2.20 +22.9%