| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
654 |
0.885 |
$578.84 |
$53.51 |
+10.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
390 |
0.775 |
$302.25 |
$4.29 |
+1.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
141 |
0.600 |
$84.89 |
$23.85 |
+39.1% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
132 |
0.560 |
$74.03 |
$-5.02 |
-6.3% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
139 |
0.465 |
$64.75 |
$3.09 |
+5.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
114 |
0.545 |
$62.22 |
$6.90 |
+12.5% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? |
No |
64 |
0.900 |
$57.33 |
$0.64 |
+1.1% |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.540 |
$54.26 |
$2.70 |
+5.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
106 |
0.455 |
$48.22 |
$-3.96 |
-7.6% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? |
No |
77 |
0.570 |
$43.92 |
$-2.47 |
-5.3% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.960 |
$43.20 |
$1.35 |
+3.2% |
| Will United Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections? |
Yes |
36 |
0.965 |
$35.07 |
$4.10 |
+13.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
45 |
0.675 |
$30.38 |
$4.58 |
+17.7% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.190 |
$28.49 |
$1.80 |
+6.7% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
187 |
0.145 |
$27.15 |
$-23.83 |
-46.7% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? |
Yes |
37 |
0.680 |
$24.95 |
$1.10 |
+4.6% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.275 |
$23.55 |
$-19.90 |
-45.8% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
Yes |
89 |
0.265 |
$23.49 |
$-5.76 |
-19.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? |
No |
52 |
0.435 |
$22.79 |
$-0.77 |
-3.3% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
99 |
0.230 |
$22.77 |
$2.53 |
+12.5% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
51 |
0.415 |
$21.16 |
$5.95 |
+39.1% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
56 |
0.375 |
$20.84 |
$0.70 |
+3.5% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.185 |
$19.98 |
$4.14 |
+26.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
60 |
0.305 |
$18.30 |
$-0.30 |
-1.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
61 |
0.261 |
$15.85 |
$-1.11 |
-6.5% |