Log in
Trader leaderboard/polopilo

polopilo

0x299cb40195d270438f8950902f242d796457d85e
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
1W / 0L
Trades (30d)
1
across 1 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.05
avg win $0
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,390 · all-time $735,068

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 92.3% 2,089W/175L 1027 $105,109
🎬 Culture 90.9% 199W/20L 144 $13,657
🤖 Tech 85.4% 111W/19L 73 $6,626
🏛 Politics 100.0% 52W/0L 47 $3,899
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 3 $186
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Airbnb say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call? No 369 0.958 $353.71 $-4.42 -1.2%
Will no Rogan episode air? No 160 0.992 $158.67 $0.37 +0.2%
Will Uber say "Grocery" during earnings call? Yes 149 0.961 $143.11 $-2.91 -2.0%
Will Big Brother episode not air? No 116 0.989 $115.15 $1.05 +0.9%
Will anyone say "Diary" during Big Brother E15? Yes 111 0.870 $96.39 $-11.12 -10.3%
Will anyone say "Evict" during Big Brother E15? Yes 106 0.855 $90.63 $-12.18 -11.8%
Will Big Brother episode not air? No 128 0.515 $66.16 $-60.16 -47.6%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? Yes 66 0.930 $61.12 $1.77 +3.0%
Will Airbnb say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during earnings call? Yes 69 0.740 $51.27 $-14.81 -22.4%
Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)? No 43 0.994 $43.15 $0.61 +1.4%
Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? Yes 35 0.968 $33.69 $-0.52 -1.5%
Will Trump’s remarks not air? No 31 0.992 $30.61 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Uber say "Waymo" during earnings call? Yes 32 0.915 $29.68 $3.48 +13.3%
Will "Rigged" be in the headlines this week? No 31 0.956 $29.61 $1.10 +3.9%
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 245M? Yes 34 0.755 $25.67 $-2.41 -8.6%
Will "Think" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? Yes 25 0.968 $24.19 $-0.27 -1.1%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 255? No 28 0.795 $22.21 $-1.54 -6.5%
Will "Time" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? Yes 18 0.969 $17.59 $-0.21 -1.2%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 16 0.972 $15.55 $-0.13 -0.8%
Will Disney say "Valuation" during earnings call? No 21 0.720 $15.32 $4.04 +35.8%
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air? No 15 0.899 $13.49 $-1.36 -9.1%
Will Disney say "ESPN" during earnings call? Yes 13 0.984 $13.18 $-0.09 -0.7%
Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call? Yes 20 0.550 $11.00 $-6.80 -38.2%
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 10 0.995 $9.95 $0.04 +0.5%
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 10 0.994 $9.94 $0.04 +0.4%