Nikitka
0x29705e5c09678a97e54e03282b8ee5b4bbabe1c9
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$33,792
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+61.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
269W / 154L
Win Return (30d)
64%
269W / 154L
Trades (30d)
423
across 26 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
+$1,299.68
avg win $2,724 · loss $1,391
Profit Factor
3.70
$46,314 won / $12,522 lost
Reward / Risk
1.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3,942
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,103 · all-time $4,590,905
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15,209 |
0.625 |
$9,505.88 |
$436.75 |
+4.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
29,227 |
0.225 |
$6,576.18 |
$-2,078.22 |
-24.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.355 |
$3,549.97 |
$250.00 |
+7.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
Yes |
8,422 |
0.100 |
$842.22 |
$-561.97 |
-40.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,127 |
0.115 |
$589.61 |
$-368.99 |
-38.5% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
7,383 |
0.042 |
$306.39 |
$-51.81 |
-14.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
652 |
0.032 |
$20.55 |
$-27.91 |
-57.6% |