Nikitka
0x29705e5c09678a97e54e03282b8ee5b4bbabe1c9
PnL (30d)
+$31,289
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$726
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+33.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
531W / 197L · 131 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
654W / 205L
Trades (30d)
859
across 44 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
+$782.22
avg win $2,215 · loss $1,606
Profit Factor
2.30
$55,373 won / $24,084 lost
Reward / Risk
1.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,961
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,103 · all-time $4,590,905
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15,209 |
0.625 |
$9,505.88 |
$436.75 |
+4.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
29,227 |
0.225 |
$6,576.18 |
$-2,078.22 |
-24.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.365 |
$3,649.97 |
$350.00 |
+10.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
Yes |
8,422 |
0.100 |
$842.22 |
$-561.97 |
-40.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,127 |
0.115 |
$589.61 |
$-368.99 |
-38.5% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
7,383 |
0.043 |
$313.77 |
$-44.43 |
-12.4% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
652 |
0.030 |
$19.90 |
$-28.56 |
-58.9% |