shangri-laa
0x294035665ba1558327be723946055e2ea8d6304c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,051
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$238
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-21.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
59W / 84L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
65W / 103L
Trades (30d)
168
across 19 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$75.09
avg win $91 · loss $200
Profit Factor
0.34
$548 won / $1,599 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$183
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,740 · all-time $762,596
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
49.1%
234W/243L
|
69 |
$30,530 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/25L
|
2 |
$1,146 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
2,489 |
0.165 |
$410.68 |
$75.46 |
+22.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
541 |
0.635 |
$343.53 |
$84.19 |
+32.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
274 |
0.455 |
$124.89 |
$-34.31 |
-21.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
2,067 |
0.045 |
$93.02 |
$-346.54 |
-78.8% |