shangri-laa
0x294035665ba1558327be723946055e2ea8d6304c
PnL (30d)
−$801
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$404
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
234W / 243L · 127 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
294W / 310L
Trades (30d)
604
across 69 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$15.40
avg win $99 · loss $114
Profit Factor
0.75
$2,383 won / $3,184 lost
Reward / Risk
0.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$601
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,281 · all-time $762,137
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
49.1%
234W/243L
|
69 |
$30,530 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/25L
|
2 |
$1,146 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
2,489 |
0.165 |
$410.68 |
$75.46 |
+22.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
541 |
0.610 |
$330.00 |
$70.67 |
+27.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
274 |
0.440 |
$120.77 |
$-38.43 |
-24.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
2,067 |
0.045 |
$93.02 |
$-346.54 |
-78.8% |