Trader
0x28bcb32f3e3fa53e25ad3a92ab96642d729fc1b8
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$6
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
76W / 63L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
76W / 63L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
141
across 71 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.09
avg win $3 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.06
$113 won / $107 lost
Reward / Risk
1.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $129 · all-time $23,389
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
37.8%
281W/463L
|
351 |
$1,500 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
46.7%
7W/8L
|
11 |
$34 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6? |
No |
18 |
0.690 |
$12.62 |
$-0.63 |
-4.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 6? |
No |
7 |
0.605 |
$4.46 |
$-0.18 |
-4.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? |
No |
4 |
0.994 |
$4.23 |
$0.91 |
+27.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
13 |
0.095 |
$1.28 |
$-1.95 |
-60.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6? |
No |
1 |
0.835 |
$1.24 |
$0.16 |
+14.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5? |
Yes |
4 |
0.275 |
$1.11 |
$0.06 |
+5.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? |
No |
1 |
0.695 |
$1.02 |
$0.02 |
+2.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
2 |
0.003 |
$0.01 |
$-1.25 |
-99.6% |