PnL (30d)

−$95

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

281W / 463L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

287W / 467L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

761

across 351 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.28

avg win $3 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.80

$382 won / $478 lost

Reward / Risk

1.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$51

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.8% 281W/463L	351	$1,500
🌤 Weather	43.8% 7W/9L	12	$35

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6?	No	18	0.680	$12.44	$-0.81	-6.1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	13	0.420	$5.65	$2.42	+75.0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 6?	No	7	0.610	$4.49	$-0.15	-3.2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?	No	4	0.960	$4.09	$0.77	+23.1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6?	No	1	0.825	$1.22	$0.14	+13.0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	4	0.260	$1.05	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6?	No	1	0.695	$1.02	$0.02	+2.2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	No	2	0.065	$0.15	$-1.11	-88.4%