PnL (30d)

−$79

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$733

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

25W / 52L · 52 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

77W / 52L

Trades (30d)

129

across 17 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$6.07

avg win $20 · loss $47

Profit Factor

0.67

$157 won / $236 lost

Reward / Risk

0.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.3% 224W/90L	47	$58,938
🤖 Tech	75.0% 6W/2L	6	$5,593

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	1,100	0.964	$1,059.85	$119.85	+12.8%
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,160	0.895	$1,038.32	$147.41	+16.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	No	727	0.922	$670.27	$38.92	+6.2%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	285	0.840	$239.26	$8.54	+3.7%
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	316	0.755	$238.84	$89.05	+59.4%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?	No	366	0.630	$230.61	$-23.34	-9.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	107	0.685	$73.51	$19.84	+37.0%
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	44	0.930	$40.69	$1.75	+4.5%
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	10	0.775	$7.75	$0.35	+4.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	1	0.330	$0.41	$-0.14	-25.0%