PnL (30d)

+$673

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$871

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

224W / 90L · 76 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

281W / 90L · 19 open

Trades (30d)

390

across 47 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$16.84

avg win $45 · loss $67

Profit Factor

2.00

$1,345 won / $672 lost

Reward / Risk

0.67

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$276

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.3% 224W/90L	47	$58,938
🤖 Tech	75.0% 6W/2L	6	$5,593

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	1,100	0.961	$1,056.55	$116.55	+12.4%
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,160	0.910	$1,055.72	$164.81	+18.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	No	727	0.915	$665.18	$33.84	+5.4%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	285	0.840	$239.26	$8.54	+3.7%
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	316	0.755	$238.84	$89.05	+59.4%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?	No	366	0.620	$226.94	$-27.00	-10.6%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	107	0.680	$72.97	$19.30	+36.0%
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	44	0.930	$40.69	$1.75	+4.5%
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	10	0.775	$7.75	$0.35	+4.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	1	0.245	$0.30	$-0.24	-44.3%