| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
7,667 |
0.251 |
$1,920.64 |
$-615.75 |
-24.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,805 |
0.885 |
$1,597.84 |
$25.89 |
+1.6% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? |
No |
1,335 |
0.925 |
$1,235.28 |
$44.88 |
+3.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,261 |
0.775 |
$977.29 |
$-6.00 |
-0.6% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? |
No |
662 |
0.860 |
$569.59 |
$-12.65 |
-2.2% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? |
No |
582 |
0.957 |
$557.29 |
$52.90 |
+10.5% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
471 |
0.881 |
$415.05 |
$-2.66 |
-0.6% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
369 |
0.835 |
$308.11 |
$-13.14 |
-4.1% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
306 |
0.830 |
$254.00 |
$-6.44 |
-2.5% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.945 |
$235.92 |
$1.25 |
+0.5% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
No |
341 |
0.655 |
$223.51 |
$39.24 |
+21.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
222 |
0.946 |
$209.64 |
$4.32 |
+2.1% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
206 |
0.875 |
$180.05 |
$-0.94 |
-0.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
161 |
0.935 |
$150.53 |
$2.72 |
+1.8% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
148 |
0.915 |
$135.43 |
$2.60 |
+2.0% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? |
No |
144 |
0.930 |
$134.08 |
$-1.34 |
-1.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
157 |
0.790 |
$124.39 |
$-6.57 |
-5.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
270 |
0.440 |
$118.62 |
$-7.87 |
-6.2% |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
No |
113 |
0.936 |
$106.01 |
$3.74 |
+3.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
154 |
0.625 |
$96.29 |
$1.36 |
+1.4% |
| Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
96 |
0.940 |
$90.31 |
$1.78 |
+2.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
98 |
0.914 |
$89.57 |
$-0.27 |
-0.3% |
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
No |
89 |
0.989 |
$88.09 |
$0.96 |
+1.1% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
101 |
0.855 |
$86.10 |
$1.07 |
+1.3% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
No |
121 |
0.710 |
$85.67 |
$-16.64 |
-16.3% |