PnL (30d)

+$6,949

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$222

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+18.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

1,658W / 2,211L · 73 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

1,675W / 2,267L

Trades (30d)

3,942

across 319 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

+$22.78

avg win $105 · loss $38

Profit Factor

2.05

$13,559 won / $6,610 lost

Reward / Risk

2.80

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$706

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	42.9% 1,658W/2,211L	319	$81,206
🌤 Weather	35.7% 15W/27L	11	$1,475
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/5L	3	$17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6?	No	350	0.980	$343.33	$34.42	+11.1%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?	Yes	250	0.860	$215.00	$57.10	+36.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	217	0.965	$209.73	$138.71	+195.3%
Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August?	No	100	0.770	$76.82	$12.47	+19.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7?	No	20	0.810	$16.20	$0.20	+1.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	241	0.030	$7.22	$-63.72	-89.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 7?	Yes	91	0.070	$6.34	$3.62	+133.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	951	0.001	$0.48	$-11.58	-96.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	610	0.001	$0.30	$-5.56	-94.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	392	0.001	$0.20	$-19.19	-99.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	185	0.001	$0.09	$-30.22	-99.7%