PnL (30d)

+$13

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+4.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

70W / 23L

Win Return (30d)

75%

70W / 23L

Trades (30d)

93

across 56 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.24

avg win $3 · loss $5

Profit Factor

1.15

$101 won / $88 lost

Reward / Risk

0.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$15

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.4% 420W/168L	450	$2,800
🌤 Weather	68.8% 11W/5L	12	$89
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$23
🎬 Culture	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$23
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	25	0.440	$11.00	$-3.00	-21.4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5?	No	16	0.555	$8.80	$-0.58	-6.2%