PnL (30d)

+$23

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+25.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

15W / 5L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

16W / 15L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

33

across 25 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$1.36

avg win $3 · loss $3

Profit Factor

2.67

$37 won / $14 lost

Reward / Risk

1.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.4% 420W/168L	450	$2,800
🌤 Weather	68.8% 11W/5L	12	$89
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$23
🎬 Culture	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$23
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	25	0.440	$11.00	$-3.00	-21.4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5?	No	16	0.490	$7.77	$-1.62	-17.2%