| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
642 |
0.765 |
$490.92 |
$92.51 |
+23.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
603 |
0.675 |
$407.32 |
$38.03 |
+10.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
625 |
0.400 |
$249.52 |
$-4.87 |
-1.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
380 |
0.600 |
$228.00 |
$-58.77 |
-20.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
289 |
0.715 |
$206.96 |
$1.56 |
+0.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.155 |
$186.05 |
$-318.02 |
-63.1% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
310 |
0.492 |
$152.67 |
$-30.92 |
-16.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.655 |
$131.00 |
$-21.00 |
-13.8% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
156 |
0.798 |
$124.47 |
$17.36 |
+16.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
232 |
0.505 |
$116.95 |
$-34.21 |
-22.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
400 |
0.255 |
$102.00 |
$-76.25 |
-42.8% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
350 |
0.285 |
$99.72 |
$-124.26 |
-55.5% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.722 |
$86.64 |
$-5.16 |
-5.6% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
Yes |
200 |
0.430 |
$86.00 |
$6.00 |
+7.5% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
489 |
0.170 |
$83.06 |
$-130.03 |
-61.0% |
| OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.810 |
$81.00 |
$-6.20 |
-7.1% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
215 |
0.315 |
$67.81 |
$-55.82 |
-45.2% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.645 |
$64.50 |
$-17.50 |
-21.3% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
302 |
0.210 |
$63.50 |
$-150.59 |
-70.3% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.290 |
$58.00 |
$-23.70 |
-29.0% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.555 |
$55.50 |
$-25.00 |
-31.1% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
Yes |
121 |
0.460 |
$55.49 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? |
Yes |
250 |
0.220 |
$55.00 |
$-90.50 |
-62.2% |
| Critical Discord Incident by September 30? |
Yes |
55 |
0.850 |
$46.75 |
$-7.15 |
-13.3% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
Yes |
82 |
0.570 |
$46.57 |
$-10.07 |
-17.8% |