| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.980 |
$1,176.00 |
$39.45 |
+3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
700 |
0.845 |
$591.50 |
$45.44 |
+8.3% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? |
No |
461 |
0.945 |
$435.23 |
$28.81 |
+7.1% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
351 |
0.830 |
$291.55 |
$27.18 |
+10.3% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.830 |
$290.50 |
$-3.91 |
-1.3% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.835 |
$250.51 |
$-6.39 |
-2.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.962 |
$192.30 |
$1.70 |
+0.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.957 |
$191.30 |
$0.25 |
+0.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.952 |
$190.30 |
$6.10 |
+3.3% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.01 |
$6.08 |
+3.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$14.77 |
+8.5% |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? |
No |
240 |
0.725 |
$174.01 |
$46.45 |
+36.4% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? |
No |
165 |
0.933 |
$153.94 |
$0.46 |
+0.3% |
| Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.980 |
$146.93 |
$1.75 |
+1.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.963 |
$144.38 |
$1.60 |
+1.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
150 |
0.920 |
$138.02 |
$11.16 |
+8.8% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.920 |
$138.01 |
$4.94 |
+3.7% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? |
No |
144 |
0.915 |
$132.22 |
$3.25 |
+2.5% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.919 |
$128.73 |
$7.69 |
+6.4% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
129 |
0.925 |
$118.94 |
$2.82 |
+2.4% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.760 |
$114.00 |
$1.40 |
+1.2% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.972 |
$97.16 |
$4.09 |
+4.4% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.950 |
$95.00 |
$3.05 |
+3.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
100 |
0.925 |
$92.56 |
$2.26 |
+2.5% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.925 |
$92.50 |
$3.70 |
+4.2% |