| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.981 |
$1,176.60 |
$40.05 |
+3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
700 |
0.835 |
$584.50 |
$38.44 |
+7.0% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? |
No |
500 |
0.945 |
$472.50 |
$31.27 |
+7.1% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.845 |
$295.75 |
$1.34 |
+0.5% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
351 |
0.830 |
$291.55 |
$27.18 |
+10.3% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.830 |
$249.01 |
$-7.89 |
-3.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.963 |
$192.50 |
$1.90 |
+1.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.957 |
$191.30 |
$0.25 |
+0.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.948 |
$189.60 |
$5.40 |
+2.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.01 |
$6.08 |
+3.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$14.77 |
+8.5% |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? |
No |
240 |
0.720 |
$172.81 |
$45.25 |
+35.5% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? |
No |
165 |
0.933 |
$153.94 |
$0.46 |
+0.3% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.963 |
$144.38 |
$1.60 |
+1.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
150 |
0.930 |
$139.52 |
$12.66 |
+10.0% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.920 |
$138.01 |
$4.94 |
+3.7% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? |
No |
144 |
0.915 |
$132.22 |
$3.25 |
+2.5% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.919 |
$128.73 |
$7.69 |
+6.4% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
129 |
0.925 |
$118.94 |
$2.82 |
+2.4% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.765 |
$114.75 |
$2.15 |
+1.9% |
| Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.978 |
$97.76 |
$1.57 |
+1.6% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.972 |
$97.16 |
$4.09 |
+4.4% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.955 |
$95.50 |
$3.55 |
+3.9% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
100 |
0.926 |
$92.66 |
$2.36 |
+2.6% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.925 |
$92.50 |
$3.70 |
+4.2% |