Log in
Trader leaderboard/sssfff2

sssfff2

0x2654d40407adc71a878e303c4b45714768abb45f
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$30
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
626W / 575L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
628W / 575L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
1,213
across 156 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$0.20
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.78
$103 won / $133 lost
Reward / Risk
0.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,646 · all-time $374,565

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.4% 5,097W/3,780L 1605 $33,134
⚽ Sports 48.0% 496W/538L 247 $3,482
🌤 Weather 39.3% 48W/74L 23 $443
🏛 Politics 56.4% 22W/17L 15 $215
💵 Economy 25.0% 7W/21L 10 $106
₿ Crypto 38.9% 7W/11L 8 $83
🎬 Culture 41.4% 12W/17L 7 $102

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? No 8 0.695 $5.27 $0.34 +6.9%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in August? No 10 0.495 $5.10 $0.05 +1.0%
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? No 8 0.515 $4.25 $0.12 +3.0%
James Comey charges dropped by December 31? Yes 7 0.590 $3.89 $0.86 +28.3%
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.955 $3.34 $1.24 +59.2%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5) HOTU 6 0.500 $3.19 $-0.06 -2.0%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.910 $2.71 $1.01 +59.6%
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 3 0.840 $2.70 $0.90 +50.0%
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.890 $2.45 $0.71 +41.3%
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No 2 0.915 $2.28 $0.68 +43.0%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 3 0.825 $2.21 $0.17 +8.5%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? No 3 0.780 $2.11 $0.41 +23.8%
Will Trump praise Kevin Warsh in August? Yes 2 0.675 $1.22 $-0.10 -7.5%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? No 1 0.910 $1.19 $0.22 +23.0%
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 1 0.910 $1.19 $0.39 +49.2%
Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027? Yes 3 0.385 $1.13 $-0.45 -28.7%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No 2 0.440 $0.72 $-0.39 -35.3%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? No 1 0.495 $0.49 $-0.04 -8.3%
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 3.5 Under 9 0.048 $0.41 $-4.65 -92.0%
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes 1 0.080 $0.11 $-0.75 -87.1%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? Yes 1 0.071 $0.10 $-0.63 -85.8%