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sssfff2

0x2654d40407adc71a878e303c4b45714768abb45f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
38W / 23L · 49 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
57W / 45L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
110
across 33 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.22
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.73
$8 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$9
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,742 · all-time $374,660

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.4% 5,097W/3,780L 1605 $33,134
⚽ Sports 48.1% 466W/502L 235 $3,290
🌤 Weather 36.1% 35W/62L 17 $345
🏛 Politics 56.4% 22W/17L 14 $195
💵 Economy 25.0% 7W/21L 10 $106
₿ Crypto 38.9% 7W/11L 8 $83
🎬 Culture 41.4% 12W/17L 7 $102

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Chelsea FC vs. Juventus Turin: O/U 1.5 Over 12 0.775 $9.40 $0.55 +6.2%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in August? No 10 0.495 $5.10 $0.05 +1.0%
AC Milan vs. Inter Milano: O/U 2.5 Under 8 0.615 $5.03 $-0.12 -2.4%
James Comey charges dropped by December 31? Yes 7 0.550 $3.62 $0.59 +19.6%
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.955 $3.34 $1.24 +59.2%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5) HOTU 6 0.500 $3.19 $-0.06 -2.0%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.910 $2.71 $1.01 +59.6%
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 3 0.840 $2.70 $0.90 +50.0%
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.895 $2.46 $0.73 +42.1%
ODI Series Kenya vs Bahrain: Kenya vs Bahrain Kenya 3 0.695 $2.41 $0.29 +13.9%
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No 2 0.915 $2.28 $0.68 +43.0%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 3 0.826 $2.22 $0.18 +8.6%
Will CF Villarreal C win on 2026-08-05? Yes 2 1.000 $2.17 $0.63 +40.8%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? No 3 0.780 $2.11 $0.41 +23.8%
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? No 2 0.545 $1.26 $0.10 +9.0%
Will Trump praise Kevin Warsh in August? Yes 2 0.665 $1.20 $-0.12 -8.9%
Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027? Yes 3 0.410 $1.20 $-0.38 -24.1%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? No 1 0.910 $1.19 $0.22 +23.0%
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 1 0.905 $1.19 $0.39 +48.3%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No 2 0.420 $0.68 $-0.42 -38.2%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? No 1 0.535 $0.54 $-0.01 -0.9%
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 3.5 Under 9 0.022 $0.19 $-4.86 -96.2%
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes 1 0.080 $0.11 $-0.75 -87.1%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? Yes 1 0.071 $0.10 $-0.63 -85.7%