PnL (30d)

−$399

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

332W / 224L · 25 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

338W / 224L · 19 open

Trades (30d)

581

across 138 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$3.10

avg win $4 · loss $15

Profit Factor

0.46

$342 won / $741 lost

Reward / Risk

0.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$146

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.4% 1,314W/553L	330	$220,194
₿ Crypto	89.5% 68W/8L	40	$23,384
💵 Economy	89.5% 68W/8L	40	$23,384

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	42,177	0.025	$1,071.30	$63.43	+6.3%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	74,963	0.013	$937.04	$-176.76	-15.9%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	13,400	0.050	$663.29	$112.16	+20.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,800	0.278	$499.50	$237.30	+90.5%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	31,883	0.013	$414.48	$-138.08	-25.0%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,205	0.170	$204.84	$-342.28	-62.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,400	0.135	$188.30	$79.10	+72.4%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	34,092	0.005	$187.51	$-111.11	-37.2%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	14,113	0.011	$148.19	$-182.57	-55.2%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	147	0.910	$133.90	$83.40	+165.1%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?	Down	66	0.749	$49.35	$-15.68	-24.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.117	$23.30	$-10.70	-31.5%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	33	0.003	$0.08	$-8.93	-99.1%