PnL (30d)

+$10

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$24

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

1,314W / 553L · 111 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

1,390W / 553L · 35 open

Trades (30d)

1,978

across 329 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$0.03

avg win $7 · loss $13

Profit Factor

1.01

$1,363 won / $1,354 lost

Reward / Risk

0.53

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$159

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.4% 1,314W/553L	329	$220,178
₿ Crypto	85.4% 82W/14L	46	$23,482
💵 Economy	85.4% 82W/14L	46	$23,482

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	42,177	0.025	$1,071.30	$63.43	+6.3%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	74,963	0.013	$937.04	$-176.76	-15.9%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	13,400	0.050	$663.29	$112.16	+20.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,800	0.278	$499.50	$237.30	+90.5%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	31,883	0.015	$462.30	$-90.26	-16.3%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,205	0.170	$204.84	$-342.28	-62.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,400	0.135	$188.30	$79.10	+72.4%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	34,092	0.005	$187.51	$-111.11	-37.2%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	14,113	0.011	$148.19	$-182.57	-55.2%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	147	0.905	$133.16	$82.66	+163.7%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?	Down	66	0.749	$49.35	$-15.68	-24.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.117	$23.30	$-10.70	-31.5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5?	No	5	0.275	$1.51	$0.25	+19.6%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	33	0.003	$0.08	$-8.93	-99.1%