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0x25db76e0be974135ee4a732d11dffb7fb4b824ad
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$153
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
94W / 23L · 37 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
117W / 33L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
154
across 11 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
−$38.16
avg win $1 · loss $157
Profit Factor
0.03
$4 won / $157 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,112 · all-time $31,457
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
7 |
0.999 |
$7.13 |
$2.53 |
+55.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
7 |
1.000 |
$6.58 |
$1.58 |
+31.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.875 |
$6.16 |
$1.16 |
+23.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.853 |
$5.92 |
$0.85 |
+16.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.805 |
$1.22 |
$0.42 |
+51.9% |