PnL (30d)

+$404

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+14.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

66%

410W / 208L · 344 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

557W / 383L · 22 open

Trades (30d)

962

across 45 markets · ~21 per market

EV / position

+$18.38

avg win $48 · loss $18

Profit Factor

3.31

$580 won / $175 lost

Reward / Risk

2.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.3% 410W/208L	45	$5,846
🏛 Politics	100.0% 10W/0L	5	$130
⚽ Sports	6.7% 2W/28L	4	$152
💵 Economy	—	1	$33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	7	0.999	$7.13	$2.53	+55.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	7	1.000	$6.58	$1.58	+31.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	7	0.870	$6.12	$1.13	+22.5%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	7	0.853	$5.92	$0.85	+16.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	2	0.805	$1.22	$0.42	+51.9%