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Trader leaderboard/acal

acal

0x250c209da4b8cd7543a12eed529efc68b6982774
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$697
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$226
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-31.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
10%
436W / 4,150L · 357 open
Win Return (30d)
13%
644W / 4,288L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
4,943
across 369 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$2.44
avg win $24 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.53
$800 won / $1,497 lost
Reward / Risk
4.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$233
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $56,898 · all-time $16,525,989

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.9% 1,197W/7,398L 728 $9,090
₿ Crypto 5.9% 57W/908L 124 $862
💵 Economy 18.2% 10W/45L 43 $594
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/21L 15 $169
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 6 $24
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/7L 3 $31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 8,086 0.015 $117.25 $89.00 +315.1%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 11,467 0.007 $86.00 $22.42 +35.3%
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in August? Yes 100 0.370 $37.00 $33.00 +825.0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 5,029 0.004 $20.12 $-7.08 -26.0%
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,400 0.013 $17.50 $-10.50 -37.5%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 5,708 0.003 $17.12 $-3.07 -15.2%
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 433 0.037 $16.25 $-3.83 -19.1%
Will Chainlink dip to $2 in August? Yes 300 0.053 $15.90 $12.90 +430.0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 5? Yes 1,800 0.008 $14.40 $8.10 +128.7%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? Yes 200 0.070 $14.00 $6.00 +75.0%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? Yes 387 0.035 $13.55 $8.68 +178.2%
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026? Yes 300 0.045 $13.50 $0.50 +3.8%
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? Yes 36 0.375 $13.48 $12.40 +1150.0%
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 200 0.067 $13.40 $7.20 +116.1%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 176 0.075 $13.18 $-0.88 -6.2%
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No 21 0.615 $12.92 $12.88 +30649.6%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 5,000 0.003 $12.50 $-2.48 -16.6%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August? Yes 292 0.040 $11.67 $0.92 +8.5%
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes 103 0.110 $11.28 $-1.13 -9.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August? Yes 361 0.030 $10.84 $-5.00 -31.6%
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? Yes 100 0.105 $10.50 $0.50 +5.0%
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? Yes 227 0.045 $10.23 $0.86 +9.2%
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? Yes 408 0.024 $9.58 $-2.57 -21.2%
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.095 $9.50 $0.50 +5.6%
Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 125 0.074 $9.35 $5.14 +122.4%